Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.24; (P) 149.60; (R1) 150.13; More…

GBP/JPY’s correction from 153.39 is still in progress and could extend lower. But downside should be contained by 148.50 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 151.95 will argue that larger rally is ready to resume, and bring retest of 153.39 high first. However, firm break of 148.50 will bring deeper correction to channel support (now at 143.31).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 176.76; (P) 177.09; (R1) 177.74; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and accelerates to as high as 178.83 so far. 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51 is already met but there is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained break of 178.69 (as mentioned below) will carry larger bullish implication, and target 161.8% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 192.83 next. On the downside, though, break of 176.42 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. Sustained break there will pave the way to 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.80; (P) 192.19; (R1) 192.81; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 193.51 is extending but further rally is expected as long as 190.02 support holds. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. On the downside, though, break of 190.02 will turn bias to the downside for 187.94 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.62; (P) 145.78; (R1) 147.30; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 142.76 support. Break there will bring further fall to 139.29/47 key support zone next. On the upside, break of 145.99 minor resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.05; (P) 149.44; (R1) 150.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY mildly on the upside as recovery from 147.04 could extend higher. But still, such choppy rise is seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 148.16 will likely resume the decline from 153.84 through 147.04 to 144.97 low. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.44; (P) 148.27; (R1) 148.86; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 147.63 minor support suggests short term topping at 149.30, after failing to break 149.99 resistance. The development also argues that price action from 143.18 is a consolidation pattern that’s completed. Intraday bias is turned to he downside for retesting 143.18.76 support zone first. On the upside, above 149.30 will bring turn bias to the upside for 149.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.21; (P) 140.86; (R1) 142.22; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 125.58 support. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring rebound. Nonetheless, break of 142.75 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 148.09. Otherwise, near term outlook will say mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.23; (P) 152.58; (R1) 153.21; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and hits as high as 153.73 so far. As noted before, corrective pattern from 156.05 should have completed after defending 149.03 key support. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 156.05 high. On the downside, break of 152.13 resistance turned support is needed to indicate completion of the rise from 149.20. Otherwise, we’d expect further rally ahead, even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59 (2018 high). Fall from 156.05 would at least be correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.98; (P) 151.27; (R1) 151.67; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, above 152.82 will target 153.42 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that whole correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn outlook bullish. On the downside, break of 150.08 will target 148.43/149.16 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.18; (P) 137.21; (R1) 138.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 135.95 support holds. Break of 139.73 will extend the rise from 123.94 to 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. However, firm break of 135.95 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 134.31).

In the bigger picture, we’re still seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. however, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.47; (P) 147.03; (R1) 147.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 149.70 is extended. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. After fall, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 145.67 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.35; (P) 138.79; (R1) 139.15; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral as it retreated after hitting 139.23. Further rise is expected as long as 136.62 support holds. Firm break of 139.73 resistance resume the whole rise from 123.94 and target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. Nevertheless, break of 136.62 will turn intraday bias back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 139.73.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.88; (P) 150.24; (R1) 150.71; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged as consolidation from 153.39 is extending. Intraday bias stays neutral first. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 148.50 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next. However, firm break of 148.50 will bring deeper correction to channel support (now at 142.87).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY edged lower to 135.38 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. On the downside, firm break of 135.05 support will suggest that rebound from 133.03 has completed. Also, in this case fall from 142.71 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.42) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.72; (P) 142.04; (R1) 142.61; More….

Intraday bias in GPB/JPY remain neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 138.65 will resume the decline from 148.09. But in that case, we’d look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.75 should confirm completion of the fall from 148.09 and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.24; (P) 137.51; (R1) 137.82; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen above 136.55 short term bottom. Upside of recovery should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 146.50 to 136.55 at 140.35 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 136.55 will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 148.87 to 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.99; (P) 185.55; (R1) 186.62; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with break of 186.77 minor resistance. Retest of 188.26 high should be seen next. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside though, below 184.44 support will resume the fall from 188.26 to 183.79 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 180.74 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 180.74 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.24; (P) 142.72; (R1) 143.20; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 144.84 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is still expected as long as 140.62 support holds. Above 144.84 will extend the rebound from 131.51 to trendline resistance at around 147.35. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.88; (P) 135.56; (R1) 136.53; More…

Further fall is expected in GBP/JPY with 136.58 minor resistance intact. Current development argues that whole corrective rebound from 123.94 has completed. Decline in 142.71 should target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, above 136.58 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.32; (P) 150.82; (R1) 151.75; More…

GBP/JPY rebounds strongly today but stays below 153.39 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 153.39 could extend but downside should be contained by 148.50 support. On the upside, firm break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.