Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.17; (P) 152.30; (R1) 152.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Some consolidations could be seen below 153.39. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 148.50 support holds. On the upside, break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.59; (P) 137.96; (R1) 138.43; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 136.55 is extending. In case of stronger rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 146.50 to 136.55 at 140.35 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 136.55 will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 148.87 to 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.64; (P) 151.52; (R1) 153.09; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues and the break of 151.92 resistance should confirm that medium term rally is resuming. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 152.82 high first. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. On the downside, below 150.85 minor support will delay the bullish case and bring some pull back first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.79; (P) 135.23; (R1) 135.75; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 133.85 temporary low continues. Outlook stays bearish with 136.05 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 133.85 will extend the decline from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, break of 136.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 137.78 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.17; (P) 156.62; (R1) 157.20; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first as it recovered ahead of 155.33 support. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 161.22 resistance holds. Decisive break of 155.33 will resume whole decline from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.26; (P) 150.90; (R1) 151.93; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for retesting 152.52 high. Break there will resume whole up trend from 123.94. Next target is 156.59 long term resistance. In case the consolidation extends with another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 148.09 cluster support ( 23.6% retracement of 133.03 to 152.52 at 147.92) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY stayed in consolidation from 152.82 short term top last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another fall downside should be contained above 146.57 support to bring another rally. Break of 152.82 will extend the larger rise from 122.36 to 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is in progress. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current decline argues that the down from fro 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 155.14). Firm break there will suggest that rise form 122.36 is developing in to a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

GBP/JPY’s up trend continued last week and hit as high as 156.05. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 156.69 long term resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, break of 153.81 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.46; (P) 136.83; (R1) 137.39; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook despite today’s recovery. Price actions from 135.38 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Upside of recovery should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 139.54) and above.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.48; (P) 189.36; (R1) 190.49; More…..

GBP/JPY recovered after dipping to 188.22 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, below 188.22 will resume the decline from 191.29 to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33. Sustained break there will raise the chance of larger reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 183.27. On the upside, though, firm break of 55 4H EMA (now at 189.96) will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 191.29 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.15; (P) 131.14; (R1) 131.83; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 126.54 should have completed. Deeper fall should be seen to retest this low. On the upside, break of 132.24 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 135.74 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.17; (P) 162.80; (R1) 163.23; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Corrective pattern from 168.40 could extend further. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 150.95 to 168.40 at 157.61 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 168.40 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.75; (P) 130.10; (R1) 132.26; More…

GBP/JPY’s corrective rise from 123.94 is still in progress and stronger rebound could be seen. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 127.33 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.33; (P) 137.08; (R1) 138.19; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 123.94 should target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07 next. On the downside, break of 135.95 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Current development suggests that it might extend with another rising leg. But still, an eventual downside break out is expected as long as 147.95 resistance holds. Firm break of 122.75 will resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 178.41; (P) 181.75; (R1) 184.88; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 188.63 extended to as low as 178.58, and breached 23.6% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 179.26 briefly. There is no sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 179.26 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement at 173.46 next. On the upside, above 182.65 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top is in place at 188.63, there is no clear sign of long term bearish trend reversal yet. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 175.67) holds, price actions from 188.63 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger up trend from 123.94 (2022 low) could resume at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.66; (P) 141.41; (R1) 142.48; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment with a temporary low in place at 136.44. Deeper decline is still expected with 142.16 support turned resistance intact. Whole corrective rise from 122.36 could have completed at 148.42. Below 136.44 will target 61.8% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 132.31 and below. Though, above 142.16 will turn focus back to 148.42 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Upside is so far limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range. At this point, we don’t expect a break of 122.36 in near term and the corrective pattern would extend for a while.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.72; (P) 152.31; (R1) 153.42; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after forming a temporary low at 151.19 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the near term trend could have reversed. Hence, deeper fall is in favor. Below 151.19 will target 150.18 support first. Break of 150.18 will affirm this case and target 146.96 key support level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.55; (P) 162.30; (R1) 163.38; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 168.67 could still extend further. Break of 166.31 resistance will be the first sign of up trend resumption. meanwhile, break of 159.42 will bring deeper fall towards 155.57 support next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.42; (P) 142.93; (R1) 143.25; More…

GBP/JPY lost momentum after hitting 143.63 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, above 143.63 will resume the rebound from 141.15 to retest 147.95 high next. On the downside, break of 141.15 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.44; (P) 131.19; (R1) 131.73; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumed by taking out 130.64 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside. as noted before, corrective rebound from 123.94 should have completed. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 123.94 low. On the upside, break of 133.18 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.