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China Markets Under Pressure Expecting US Tariffs

General Trend:

  • Equity volumes light with Korea closed, little economic data and markets awaiting Fed rate decision tomorrow
  • USD holds on to its overnight gains, though volatility remains muted
  • Trump said to have agreed on a step by step denuclearization process with North Korea in exchange for US concessions
  • Shares of Nintendo fall to a 1-yr low after disappointing Switch sales guidance at the E3 conference
  • ZTE resumes trade in Hong Kong falling nearly 40%
  • US said to impose tariffs on China as soon as the end of this week or next week

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%
  • (JP) Japan to strengthen oversight of international residents/workers ; after govt pledges to allow more foreign workers – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan Defense Min Onodera: There will be no change to joint military exercises with US; no change in stance on keeping pressure on North Korea
  • Toshiba, [+8.8%], 6502.JP Planning ÂĄ700B share buyback; to take cautious stance against M&A
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: North Korea issue will not be solved with one meeting; Japan could only bear the initial cost of North Korea denuclearization after IAEA inspection

Korea

  • Kospi closed for local elections
  • (KR) North Korea’s Kim exchanged frank opinions with Trump; praised Trump’s will to resolve issues; this was a great event to promote historic trend of peace – KCNA North Korea state media
  • (KR) US President Trump said to have agreed on a step by step denuclearization process with North Korea in exchange for US concessions – financial press
  • (KR) Yonhap poll of 7 analysts think summit meeting between US President Donald Trump and North Korea’s Kim Jung Un is unlikely to have an immediate impact on the South Korean stock market

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.4%, Shanghai Composite -0.3%
  • (CN) Analysts note China PBOC RRR cut is more likely to boost loans – China Daily
  • (CN) China Govt to invest CNY1.6T into oil and gas pipeline from 2016-2025 – China Daily
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.4156 v 6.4121 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects combined CNY130B in 7-day, 14-day and 28-day reverse repos v CNY100B prior: Net injects CNY70B v injects CNY30B prior
  • (CN) China top tier cities seeing property prices remaining stable due to tight regulation, the market in smaller cities has showed signs of picking up – Xinhua
  • (US) Trade Adviser Navarro: Trump is planning to impose tariffs on a subset of China imports that were part of an original list of ~$50B in goods; speculation they could go into place as soon as Friday or next week – US press
  • (CN) China MoF sells upsized 2-yr bonds at 3.2784% v 3.29%e, bid to cover 2.19x; sells 5-yr bonds at 3.4763% v 3.50%e, bid to cover 2.64x
  • (CN) CHINA MAY M2 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 8.3% V 8.5%E; M1 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 6.0% V 7.3%E
  • (CN) CHINA MAY AGGREGATE FINANCING (CNY): 760.8B V 1.300TE
  • (CN) CHINA MAY NEW YUAN LOANS (CNY): 1.150T V 1.200TE

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened 0.0%
  • Restaurant Brands, RBD.NZ Enters into 10-yr Master Franchise Agreement with Yum! Brands for the continued operation of Pizza Hut brand in New Zealand
  • (AU) Australia Bureau of Agricultural and Resource (ABARES): Total Australian summer crop production +13% in 2017/18
  • APA.AU Confirms offer from CKI consortium for A$13B, A$11/shr cash in an indicative non-binding proposal; Offer includes divesting Goldfields pipeline
  • IOF.AU Blackstone makes offer to acquire at A$5.25/unit
  • MDL.AU Eramet raises offer to A$1.75/shr (Prior A$1.46/shr); declares offer last and final
  • (AU) Australia June Westpac Consumer Confidence Index: 102.1 v 101.8 prior; m/m: +0.3% v -0.6% prior
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Gov Lowe: Reiterates no strong case for near term adjustment in monetary policy; next move likely to be up if economic growth is sustained; March quarter GDP was a bit stronger than we were expecting consistent with central scenario

North America

  • (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +0.8M v -2M prior
  • TWX US JUDGE RULES AT&T/TWX MERGER CAN GO FORWARD; IMPOSES NO CONDITIONS ON THE MERGER – PRESS; Urges US govt to not seek stay in ruling; believes it would be unjust to seek stay, which could force AT&T to pay break up fee
  • FOXA Comcast may make offer for assets June 13th – US financial press

Europe

  • (UK) Parliament votes in support of PM May’s govt on House of Lords legislation that would have given lawmakers ability to change Brexit strategy if initial deal was rejected – press
  • (RU) Russia reportedly to ask for oil cuts rollback for most OPEC+ nations; to propose 1.8M bpd shared quota increase – press

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng -0.6%; Shanghai Composite -0.8%; Kospi -0.1%; Nikkei225 +0.4%; ASX 200 -0.6%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq100 +0.3%, Dax -0.0%; FTSE100 +0.1%
  • EUR 1.1734-1.1809; JPY 110.31-110.69; AUD 0.7556-0.7577;NZD 0.6995-0.7014
  • Aug Gold -0.1% at $1,298/oz; Jul Crude Oil -0.5% at $66.03/brl; Jul Copper -0.5% at $3.23/lb
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