HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisChinese Industrial Profits Slow For The 6th Straight Month

Chinese Industrial Profits Slow For The 6th Straight Month

General Trend:

  • Asian large-cap tech shares track Monday’s gains in the US; Softbank gains over 3%
  • Limited impact seen on Apple’s suppliers from Trump’s comments, upcoming G20 meeting remains in focus
  • Shanghai Composite rises less than 1% in early trading, Property index gains
  • Japan megabanks rise, S&P500 Financials index rose on Monday
  • Australia’s banking index rises amid regulatory delay
  • Energy prices decline in Asian trading, oil prices closed higher on Monday
  • Japan’s Line Corp gains over 15%, speculated to enter into partnership with Tencent
  • Genting Malaysia declines over 14%, filed legal proceedings against Fox and Disney
  • China Iron Ore prices add to Monday’s losses
  • New Zealand Oct trade deficit wider than expected, imports at a record high

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.7%
  • RNO.FR Top executives from Nissan, Renault and Mitsubishi to meet as soon as Thursday – Japan press
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe said to cancel trip to Europe – Japanese press
  • (JP) JAPAN OCT PPI SERVICES Y/Y: 1.3% V 1.2%E
  • 3938.JP Reportedly Line partners with Tencent on mobile payments in Japan – Nikkei [+17%]
  • (JP) Moody’s: Japan corporate earnings growth to slow down in 2019
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥399.3B v ¥400B indicated in 0.80% (prior 0.8%) 40-yr JGBs, highest accepted yield 0.9400% v 1.0250% prior, bid to cover: 3.85x v 3.24x prior
  • (JP) Oil Refining companies in Japan expected to seek continued waiver from US sanctions on Iran oil imports after 180-day exemption ends – financial press
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe: Next initial budget to have measures to address sales tax, include tax cuts for car owners and rebates on some cashless purchases; to account for ¥2.0T of general budget (after the close yesterday)

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.4%
  • (KR) South Korea Nov Consumer Confidence: 96.0 v 99.5 prior (21-month low)
  • (KR) China military airplane entered South Korea’s air defense identification zone (KADIZ) without notice three times on Monday, less than a month after the last such reported intrusion – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea sells KRW801B v KRW800B indicated in 30-yr bonds; avg yield 2.005% v 2.11% prior; bid to cover 2.72x v 2.79x prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.4%
  • (CN) Pres Trump: expect to move ahead with plan to increase China tariffs to 25% on $200B worth of goods; iPhones made in China could be included in new round of tariffs – press interview
  • (CN) As bitcoin prices fall, China bitcoin miners (one of the largest in the world) have started to turn off machines and stop some of their mining – Caixing
  • 2007.HK Notes Altissimo project in Hong Kong only sold 18 of the 110 units available by end of day Monday; priced apartments 5% lower than others in the neighborhood
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips open market operation v skipped prior (23rd straight skip)
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate: 6.9463 v 6.9453 prior
  • (CN) China Oct Industrial Profits y/y: 3.6% v 4.1% prior (6th consecutive month of slowing); YTD y/y: 13.6% v 14.7% prior
  • (CN) China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC):will allow foreign banks in China to apply for government approval for a quota increase in their medium to long-term foreign debt for 2019 – Chinese press
  • 322.HK Reports Q3 (CNY) Net 1.55B v 1.24B y/y, Rev 18.9B v 19.7B y/y [-17%]
  • (CN) S&P Asia Pacific Economist: Expects China GDP growth to remain above 6% in 2019, notes policy space to guide gradual slowdown; sees risks as mostly on the downside

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.2%
  • (NZ) New Zealand Oct Trade Balance (NZD): -1.3B v -0.9Be; Exports: 4.9B v 4.9Be; Imports: 6.2B v 5.7Be
  • LYC.AU Plans to briefly shut down Malaysia production in Dec; as a results NDPR production to be cut by 400t in Q2
  • QIP.AU Enters into a merger agreement of equals with Xenith IP Group worth A$1.80/QANTM share [+5%]
  • (AU) Australia sells A$150M v A$150M indicated in Nov 2027 Indexed Bonds, avg yield 0.8033% v 0.8078% prior, bid to cover 3.45x v 4.97x prior
  • MIL.AU Receives consultant’s Preliminary Report: taking corrective measures; will not meet prior guidance given [-39%]
  • (AU) Australia PM Morrison: Will announce budget surplus before election; mid-year economic and fiscal outlook (MYEFO) to be released on Dec 17th; Budget to be released earlier than normal on April 2nd

North America

  • UTX Confirms to Separate Into Three Independent Companies; Completes Acquisition of Rockwell Collins; affirms dividend of $0.735 post split; Cuts FY18 $7.10-7.20 v $7.27e (prior $7.20-7.30); Raises Rev $64.5-65.0B v $64.8Be (prior $64.0-64.5B); Affirms organic Rev ~+6%
  • (MX) Mexico incoming Fin Min Urzua: To propose Gerardo Esquivel as deputy Central Bank Gov; to meet with rating agencies and investors in Dec to discuss the 2019 economic package
  • ADBE Reports Cyber Monday online sales $4.3B, +18% y/y; sees total cyber Monday sales of $7.9B by the end of the day
  • LMT (JP) Japan Govt considering buying up to 100 F35 fighter jets from the US in a deal worth ¥1.0T – Nikkei

Europe

  • (UK) Brexiteers to back PM May plan if she says when she is quitting – Times
  • (UK) PM May spokesperson (responding to Pres Trump): Brexit agreement means the UK can do a US trade deal (reminder President Trump: Brexit deal sounds like a good deal for the EU; Brexit deal as it stands means UK may not be able to trade with the US; We don’t like what is happening, hopefully it will get worked out)
  • ALO.FR EU may ask Alstom and Siemens for larger concessions and disposals including high speed train tech, before it clears the deal – FT

Levels as of 12:50ET

  • Hang Seng -0.1%; Shanghai Composite +0.1%; Kospi +0.8%; Nikkei225 +0.9%; ASX 200 +0.9%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq100 +0.2%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 +0.0%
  • EUR 1.1326-1.1343; JPY 113.41-113.60; AUD 0.7214-0.7238;NZD 0.6754-0.6816
  • Feb Gold -0.1% at $1,228/oz; Jan Crude Oil -0.4% at $51.39/brl; Feb Copper -0.3% at $2.76/lb
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