HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisAussie Bond Yields Decline Over 8Bps As RBA Gov Shifts Rate Bias

Aussie Bond Yields Decline Over 8Bps As RBA Gov Shifts Rate Bias

General Trend:

  • Nikkei rises amid key earnings from Softbank
  • Toyota’s shares fluctuate after earnings; Cut FY Net guidance on securities-related losses, affirmed Op and Rev targets
  • Australia’s Commonwealth Bank declines after H1 earnings
  • RBA Gov now sees rate outlook as more evenly balanced vs. ‘ the next rate move likely to be an increase’ (prior position)
  • AUD/JPY declines over 1.3% following RBA comments
  • Second Trump/North Korea Kim summit expected Feb 27-28th
  • Indonesia Rupiah (IDR) rises, Q4 GDP contraction not as bad as feared
  • Thailand Central Bank expected to hold rate decision later today (consensus is unchanged)
  • Chinese Lunar New Year holiday break continues through this week, Hong Kong due to reopen on Friday (Feb 8th), South Korea resumes trading on Thursday (Feb 7th)
  • US companies expected to report earnings on Wed include Chipotle, Cummins, FireEye, GM, GoPro Humana, New York Times, Spotify, (includes afterhours)

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.4%
  • 7203.JP Reports 9M Net ¥1.42T v ¥2.01T y/y; Op ¥1.94T v ¥1.77T y/y; Rev ¥22.48T v ¥21.80T y/y; Cuts FY18/19 Net due to ¥310B in unrealized losses on securities, affirms Op and Rev; raises global sales forecast
  • 9843.JP CEO: To cancel its store target for China – Japanese Press
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BoJ) Gov Kuroda: Economy has improved significantly since 2013; reiterates inflation to gradually accelerate to 2%
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe: Recognize BoJ yet to meet [2%] price target but what is important is job growth

Korea

  • Kospi closed, re-opens Feb 7th
  • (KR) South Korea and US expected to announce date for joint military drills soon – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea Jan foreign investors bought KRW4.05T in domestic shares (45-month high) – Yonhap
  • (KR) North Korea Kim and Trump to meet in Vietnam Feb 27-28th
  • (KR) Foreigners received record high dividends >KRW9.0T in 2018 from top 4 conglomerates, for the first time – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea 2018 nuclear power utilization 65.9% (37-yr low) – Yonhap

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite closed all week
  • (CN) US planning to send trade delegation to China next week; Mnuchin and Lighthizer to lead talks – US press
  • (CA) According to traders, shipments of Canada made canola oil are being slowed through Chinese ports and customs, thought to be in retaliation to Huawei CFO detainment – press
  • (CN) US President Trump to meet with China president Xi later in Feb – US press

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (AU) Reserve bank of Australia (RBA) Gov Lowe: Interest rate outlook more evenly balanced; expects 2018 GDP a little below 3%; notes large number of uncertainties, including supply of credit – speech “Year Ahead”
  • IAG.AU Reports H1 (A$) Net 500M v 551M y/y; Gross written premium 5.88B v 5.65B y/y
  • CBA.AU Reports H1 (A$) cash NPAT 4.7B v 4.6B y/y, Op 12.4B v 12.6B y/y; Rev A$12.31B v $12.6B y/y
  • VAH.AU Names Paul Scurrah CEO
  • (AU) Australia sells A$900M v A$900M indicated in 2.50% May 2030 bonds, avg yield 2.2814% v 2.3296% prior, bid to cover 3.13x v 2.93x prior

North America

  • (CA) Canada Finance Min Morneau expected to meet with economists ahead of the budget on Feb 22 – Canadian Press
  • (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +2.5M v +2.1M prior
  • TSLA Spokesperson: Cut prices on all versions of Model 3 by $1,100, due to ending referral program

Europe

  • (UK) Brexit ministers looking at a plan that would keep Ireland border open – Sun
  • (UK) Ministers considering a plan that would delay Brexit to May 24th from the currently planned March 29th – Telegraph
  • Levels as of 12:40ET
    – Hang Seng closed; Shanghai Composite closed; Kospi closed; Nikkei225 +0.2%; ASX 200 +0.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax +0.0%; FTSE100 -0.0%
  • EUR 1.1395-1.1419; JPY 109.64-110.06; AUD 0.7151-0.7246;NZD 0.6866-0.6906
  • Commodity Futures: Gold -0.1% at $1,317/oz; Crude Oil +0.0% at $53.67/brl; Copper +0.2% at $2.82/lb
Trade The News
Trade The Newshttp://www.tradethenews.com/
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading