General Trend:
- Telecom services and IT sectors outperform in China amid focus on trade talks
- Shanghai banking index rises over 1%, China Jan new loans hit record high
- Japanese equities supported by gains in financials and Marine/Transportation companies
- US markets closed in observance of holiday
- Resource and energy companies lead gains in Australia
- Singapore’s DBS rises over 1% post earnings
- Japan cut assessment of machinery orders
- China auto sales continued to decline in Jan
- Commodity currencies rise, some press outlets note ‘optimism’ related to US/China trade talks
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) due to release policy meeting minutes on Tuesday
- US Commerce Dept. is expected to imminently release its auto-related recommendations, has submitted report to White House but details not disclosed yet
- HSBC is expected to report earnings on Tuesday (Jan 19th)
- BHP expected to report H1 results after Tuesday’s close
Headlines/Economic Data
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +1.5%
- (JP) JAPAN DEC CORE MACHINE ORDERS M/M: -0.1% V -1.1%E; Y/Y: +0.9% V 3.4%E; Govt cuts assessment of machine orders, orders are stalling (prior recovering)
- 8001.JP China Foreign Ministry acknowledged a company worker has been detained on espionage allegations in China since Feb 2018 – Japanese Press
- 7201.JP Corporate governance panel expected to suggest an outside director to oversee board meetings – Nikkei
- (JP) Former BoJ Deputy Gov Iwata: Further rate cuts could bring some financial institutions ‘under’; Japan must ramp up fiscal spending with debt bank rolled by BoJ
Korea
- Kospi opens +0.5%
- (KR) North Korea propaganda notes that N. Korea/US ties could experience “a major breakthrough,” with the second summit; North Korea has not built or tested nuclear weapons of late, nor does it plan to use or spread these weapons
- 005930.KR Senior North Korean official is believed to have looked around areas near a smartphone factory in Vietnam owned by Samsung, sparking speculation that he may visit it – Yonhap
- (KR) South Korea Jan Foreign Net Investment in local bonds (KRW): -3.74T v +1.48 prior; Local Stocks (KRW): +3.7T v +0.1T prior
- 042660.KR Shipbuilders union to vote on strike against sale to Hyundai Heavy; voting concludes Tuesday Feb 19 -Korean Press
- (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) sells 6-month Monetary Stabilization Bonds (MSB); avg yield 1.81% v 1.63% prior
- (KR) South Korea sells KRW1.85T v KRW1.85T indicated in 10-yr bonds, avg yield 1.985% v 1.995% prior, bid to cover 2.76x v 3.18x prior
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opens +1.0%; Shanghai Composite opens +0.7%
- (CN) Over the weekend, US President Trump was briefed by advisers on trade talks with China; Trump called the talks ‘very productive’ following the meeting – financial press
- (CN) China state news Xinhua: China and US can get closer to the final goal as the pace of talks quickens
- (CN) China corporate USD bond offerings over the last 3-months have an avg coupon of 7.8%, +2.2% y/y – press
- (CN) China State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) Chairman Xiao Yaqing reiterated to seek to attract foreign investment into larger state-owned enterprises (SOEs) – financial press
- (CN) China PBoC Head of Monetary Policy Dept Sun Guofeng said China does not wish to use administrative methods to require banks to lend – financial press
- (CN) Certain soybean traders in China played down recent cancellation of import orders – financial press
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips reverse repo operations for 6th consecutive session; No injection or drain with no reverse repos maturing
- (CN) China PBoC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.7659 v 6.7623 prior
- (CN) CHINA JAN NEW YUAN LOANS (CNY): 3.230T V 3.00TE (record high) (Friday)
- (CN) CHINA JAN AGGREGATE FINANCING (CNY) : 4.64T v 3.31TE (Friday)
- (CN) CHINA JAN M2 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 8.4% V 8.2%E; M1 Money Supply Y/Y: 0.4% v 1.9%e; M0 Money Supply Y/Y: 17.2% v 10.0% (Friday)
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.1%
- WBC.AU Gives Q1 update: Cash Profit A$2.04B
- BOQ.AU Guides H1 (A$) Net 165-170M; Rev (NII broadly inline y/y, non-interest income -10 to -8M y/y); NIM 1.93-1.95% v 1.97% y/y; Seeing continued downward pressure across fee, trading, insurance and other income lines
- BNO.AU Announces further analysis of phase II PTSD trial results: shows a statistically significant response of BNC210 in treatment of PTSD symptoms, as measured by CAPS-5 at 12 week (+54.2% during trade)
- (AU) Australia sells A$400M v A$400M indicated in 2.75% June 2035 bonds, avg yield 2.3978%, bid to cover: 2.44x
- (AU) Australia PM Morrison: A “sophisticated state actor” had hacked main political parties and parliament in the weeks leading up to election – press
Other Asia
- DBS.SG Reports Q4 (S$) Net 1.32B v 1.22B y/y; Rev 3.25B v 3.06B y/y
- (SG) SINGAPORE JAN NON-OIL DOMESTIC EXPORTS M/M: -5.7% V +6.7%E; Y/Y: -10.1% V -3.0%E
- (TH) Thailand Q4 GDP Q/Q: 0.8% v 0.7%e; Y/Y: 3.7% v 3.6%e
- 2330.TW Guides Q1 Rev reduction of $550M, Gross margin to fall 2.6%, Op margin to fall 3.2%, EPS to fall by NT$0.42 following Impact of Fab 14B Photoresist Material Incident (Friday after the close)
North America
- (US) Commerce Dept report supporting a 25% automobile tariff and other options could be released as soon as Sunday – press
Europe
- (UK) PM May office confirms she will return to Brussels for more talks with EC President Juncker this coming week
- (UK) PM May has been told that up to 7 cabinet members are ready to resign if she fails to prevent a no deal Brexit, which would block a vote on no deal Brexit, unless May gives her MPs freedom to vote on the issue – Telegraph
- (EU) ECB’s Rehn (Finland): recent data point to a weakening economy in the euro zone, cited greater uncertainties outside the euro zone – German Press
- (FR) ECB’s Villeroy (France): Timing of rate hike depends on length of current slowdown – financial press
Levels as of 12:50ET
- Hang Seng +1.7%; Shanghai Composite +2.3%; Kospi +0.4%; Nikkei225 +1.8%; ASX 200 +0.4%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.0%; Nasdaq100 +0.0%, Dax -0.1%; FTSE100 -0.1%
- EUR 1.1290-1.1325; JPY 110.46-110.58; AUD 0.7135-0.7159; NZD 0.6857-0.6894
- Commodity Futures: Gold +0.3% at $1,326/oz; Crude Oil +0.5% at $56.25/brl; Copper +0.3% at $2.82/lb