HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisUSD/JPY Declines Ahead Of Fed Chair Powell's Testimony

USD/JPY Declines Ahead Of Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony

General Trend:

  • Shanghai Composite rises in early trading as IT and property shares gain
  • Chinese telecom services and brokerage firms pullback from Monday’s gains
  • Apple supplier AAC Technologies declines over 12% in Hong Kong, issued profit warning
  • Standard Chartered now targeting tangible ROE of at least 10%, raises dividend
  • Japanese equities weighed down by Electric Appliance, Machinery and Financial companies
  • Consumer Discretionary, Resources and Financial shares weigh on Australian market
  • China NDRC: New construction starts may fall, manufacturing investment may face some downward pressure in H1
  • Korean Won (KRW) declines, upcoming US/North Korea summit in focus (Feb 27th-28th)
  • Indian Rupee (INR) weighed down by geopolitical concerns related to Pakistan
  • British pound (GBP) rises in Asian trading , PM May speculated to propose to formally rule out a ‘no-deal’ Brexit (UK Press)
  • Fed Chair Powell due to give Congressional testimony on Feb 26-27th (Tuesday-Wed), Tuesday’s testimony before the Senate expected to begin at 10 am EST
  • Australia Q4 construction work done data due for release on Wednesday (Feb 27th)

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%
  • 9201.JP Expects FY19 net -17% y/y at ¥114B, Op Net -3% y/y at ¥170B; To apply for a budget carrier license in March, service to start next year – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Corporate cash should be spent on R&D or shareholders
  • (JP) Bank of Japan Gov Kuroda (BOJ): China economy has been slowing down, and very significantly since second half of 2018
  • 4589.JP Rises by over 25% after Nikkei reports plans to raise prices on agricultural equipment sold in the US
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Jan Core CPI Y/Y: 0.5% v 0.4% prior

Korea

  • Kospi opens -0.1%
  • (KR) US and North Korea remain apart on an agreement over extent of nuclear inspections – Korean press
  • (KR) US White House: Trump to have initial meeting with North Korea Kim on Wed evening in Vietnam, ‘follow-ups’ are expected on Thursday
  • (KR) South Korea Feb Consumer Confidence: 99.5 v 97.5 prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opens flat; Shanghai Composite opens +0.3%
  • (CN) President Trump: Will have a signing summit with China on Trade (Note: no specific details provided)
  • (CN) China Jan soybean imports from US 135.8Kt v 69.3Kt m/m v 5.8Mt y/y
  • (CN) China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC): Q4 Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratio for commercial banks 1.83% v 1.87 prior; Outstanding bad loans CNY2.03T v 2.04T prior
  • (CN) China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC): Large state owned lenders, should see loans to small and micro firms for amounts CNY10M or less, to rise 30% y/y or more in 2019 v +21% in 2018 – Xinhua
  • (CN) China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) Deputy Chair Wang Zhaoxing: The risk of a financial meltdown in China’s economy has been largely avoided – SCMP
  • (CN) China PBoC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.6952 v 6.7131 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY120B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY40B injected in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net: CNY120B injected v CNY40B injection prior

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 2 00 opened -0.2%
  • (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence: 114.1 v 115.2 prior
  • BLY.AU Reports FY18 Net -$43.5M v -$150M y/y; Rev $770.2M v $739.1M y/y
  • CTX.AU Reports FY18 (A$) RCOP Net 558M v 638M y/y; EBIT 829M v 929M y/y; Rev 21.7B v 16.3B y/y; starts A$260M buyback
  • SDA.AU Reports FY18 (A$) underlying Net 48.1M v 5.9M y/y; EBITDA 132.0M v 60M y/y; Rev 623.1M v 304.9M y/y
  • IPL.AU Guides negative impact to EBIT of A$100-120M related to outage in Queensland
  • (AU) Australia Govt: To review operation of milk price index
  • (NZ) RBNZ Dep Gov Bascand: Bank capital plan could reduce Govt borrowing costs

North America

  • (US) Fed’s Vice Chair Clarida (moderate, voter): Now a good time to review Fed policy framework; Fed can afford to be patient with inflation remaining muted
  • TSLA SEC said to ask judge to hold Musk in contempt for violating deal, cites Feb 19th Tweet by Musk regarding production – US financial press
  • (US) US Trump: US farmers will benefit if deal made with China

Europe

  • (UK) Prime Min May reportedly will propose formally ruling out a no-deal Brexit, which could lead to postponement of March 29 Brexit date by several months – UK’s The Sun
  • (UK) UK planning to pay “billions” to EU even in a “No Deal” Brexit – Telegraph
  • STAN.UK Reports FY18 adj Pretax $3.86B v $3.01B y/y, underlying Op $14.9B v $14.3B y/y

Levels as of 12:50ET

  • Hang Seng -0.5%; Shanghai Composite +0.5%; Kospi -0.4%; Nikkei225 -0.4%; ASX 200 -0.9%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.3%; Nasdaq100 -0.5%, Dax -0.2%; FTSE100 -0.3%
  • EUR 1.1352-1.1372; JPY 110.76-111.08 ; AUD 0.7151-0.7174; NZD 0.6875-0.6889
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.1% at $1,330/oz; Crude Oil -0.6% at $55.16/brl; Copper -0.2% at $2.94/lb
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