HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisKorean Won Declines As US/North Korea Summit Begins

Korean Won Declines As US/North Korea Summit Begins

General Trend:

  • CME due to technical issues had to stop trading in all markets, issue later identified and resolved
  • Spot Silver spikes over 4% in Asian trading, later reverses gain
  • Banks outperform in China
  • Gainers in Japan include Real Estate companies, Fast Retailing
  • Financial and Energy companies rise in Australia
  • Australia Q4 construction work done data unexpectedly declined, Q4 GDP data due on March 6th (Wed)
  • Hong Kong GDP contracts in Q4, government pledges to launch support measures
  • Australia Q4 Capex data due for release on Thursday, along with China official Feb PMIs

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.3%
  • 4755.JP Japan FTC to investigate the rebate systems of Rakuten and Yahoo Japan – Japanese Press
  • 9697.JP Game Resident Evil 2 has shipped 4M units globally
  • 7267.JP Reports Jan Global Production 476.2K Units, +0.5% y/y
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Board Member Kataoka: longer monetary easing brings more side effects; disagrees with view that BOJ should persistently continue with easing to reach price goal
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Gov Kuroda: Reiterates BoJ is buying ETFs to reduce risk premiums; BoJ is unlikely to hit price target by FY2020
  • (JP) Japan Finance Min Aso: Various research conducted on digital currency, but must think of effects from digital currency
  • 7203.JP Reports Jan Global Production 759.8K units, +3.2% y/y

Korea

  • Kospi opens +0.2%
  • (KR) South Korea Mar Business Manufacturing Survey: 76 v 65 prior; Non-Manufacturing Survey: 75 v 70 prior
  • (KR) South Korea govt to invest KRW135.1B in developing technologies that can be applied to both military and civilian sectors – Yonhap
  • (KR) IMF to hold 2019 annual review with South Korea between Feb 27-March 12th
  • 005935.KR Samsung Display says it sold 7M curved monitor panels in 2018, aims to increase sales to 10M units in 2019 (+30%)
  • (KR) South Korea Jan Department Store Sales y/y: 7.6% v -0.7% prior; Discount Store Sales y/y: 6.3% v -3.6% prior
  • (KR) South Korea Q4 Short Term External Debt: $126.6B v $127.7B prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opens +0.2%; Shanghai Composite opens -0.1%
  • (CN) China State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) official: Increased efforts to clear the overdue debts of centrally administered State-owned enterprises (SOEs) to private companies – Xinhua
  • (HK) Hong Kong Q4 GDP Q/Q: -0.3% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 1.3% v 2.9% prior;Overall 2018 GDP Y/Y: 3.0% v 3.8% prior
  • (HK) Hong Kong Financial Sec Chan: domestic economy being impacted by external factors, to support economy with measures; planning to use HK$150B in new resources to support economy – 2019/20 budget address
  • (CN) Analysts expect China and US to announce trade agreement soon – China Daily
  • (CN) Construction of China first nuclear power plant this year is scheduled to start in Zhangzhou, Fujian province June 30th – China Daily
  • (CN) China PBoC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.6857 v 6.6952 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY60B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY120B injected in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net: CNY40B injected v CNY120B injection prior
  • (CN) China MoF sells 1-yr and 10-yr bonds: Sells 1-yr bonds at 2.3249% v 2.31% prior; bid to cover 1.82x v 3.18x prior; Sells 10-yr bonds at 3.1232% v 3.0328% prior, bid to cover 2.30x v 3.13x prior
  • 388.HK Reports FY18 (HK$) Net 9.3B v 7.40B y/y, EBITDA 11.8B v 9.6B y/y; Rev 15.9B v 13.2B y/y

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSTRUCTION WORK DONE Q/Q: -3.1% V 0.5%E
  • (AU) NAB said weaker than expected Q4 construction work done data suggests downside risk to its estimates for Q4 GDP- US financial press
  • RHL.AU To be acquired by Nutrien at A$4.40/share in cash in a A$615M deal; to pay special dividend of A$0.90
  • (NZ) New Zealand Jan Trade Balance (NZD): -0.9B v -0.3Be; Exports: 4.4B v 4.8Be; Imports: 5.3B v 5.0Be; Trade Balance (12-month YTD): -6.4B v -5.5Be
  • OZL.AU Reports FY18 (A$) Net 228.3M v 227Me; EBITDA 540.4M v 530Me; Rev 1.12B v 1.1Be
  • MQG.AU Prices upsized A$750M (prior A$500M) of Capital Notes 4 at 4.15% margin v 4.15-4.35% indicated
  • RWC.AU Confirms chairman Jonathan Munz to retire, remaining 10% stake held by family sold for A$367M
  • (AU) Australia sells A$500M v A$500M indicated in 3.25% April 2029 bonds, avg yield 2.0855%, bid to cover 4.82x

Other Asia

  • (IN) India said to again delay higher tariffs on certain US imports – India Press
  • (SG) Singapore Central Bank (MAS) Gov Menon: Singapore monetary policy remains appropriate, but what Singapore does in April is a ‘totally different matter’

North America

  • (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: -4.2M v +1.3M prior
  • (US) US to probe fabricated structural steel imports from China, Canada and Mexico
  • (US) According to American Chamber of Commerce in China, most US firms with operations in China continue to see revenue in China grow – China Daily
  • (KR) US President Trump comments ahead of Feb 27-28th Vietnam summit with North Korea Leader: North Korea could be like Vietnam if it denuclearizes
  • (CA) Canada warns it may not ratify USMCA until US ends steel and aluminum tariffs – Canada press
  • BA Confirms Vietnam’s Bamboo Airway to buy 10 787-9 Dreamliners worth $2.9B and in talks to buy an additional 25 737s

Europe

  • (UK) Feb BRC Shop Price Index y/y: 0.7% v 0.3%e
  • (UK) Govt No Deal impact analysis: despite mitigating steps taken, there are areas where impact on trade, businesses and individuals would be significant
  • (UK) Rees-Mogg won’t insist on getting rid of the Ireland backstop in Brexit – FT

Levels as of 12:50ET

  • Hang Seng +0.7%; Shanghai Composite +0.7%; Kospi +0.5%; Nikkei225 +0.5%; ASX 200 +0.4%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.0%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax +0.2%; FTSE100 +0.2%
  • EUR 1.1374-1.1400; JPY 110.52-110.63 ; AUD 0.7175-0.7196; NZD 0.6884-0.6902
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.1% at $1,329/oz; Crude Oil +1.0% at $56.03/brl; Copper -0.1% at $2.95/lb
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