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Oil Prices Rise on Supply Concerns: Japan’s Golden Week Holiday on the Radar

Asia Market Update: China property index continues to under perform amid higher rates, gov’t comments; Oil prices rise on supply concerns: Japan’s Golden Week holiday on the radar, Aussie CPI expected on Wed

General Trend:

  • Market participation still limited due to holidays
  • Various markets are closed on today’s session including HK, Australia, NZ , most of Europe
  • Brent Crude rises over 1% as US said to plan to end sanctions waivers related to Iran oil imports
  • Canadian dollar tracks rise in oil prices
  • Higher oil prices weigh on emerging market currencies (including Philippines Peso and Indian Rupee)
  • Chinese financials decline as some see near-term RRR cut as less likely
  • Concerns related to competition probe weigh on cement makers in China
  • ZTE rises in China after Q1 sales figures from Huawei
  • South Korea April 1-20th exports worsen from levels seen earlier in the month; chip exports -24.7% y/y
  • China expected to hold its 2nd plenary meeting this week, areas of focus expected to include property rights and the securities law.
  • Analysts continue to reassess the likelihood of a Q2 RRR cut in China
  • Australia Q1 CPI data is due to release on April 24th (Wed)
  • Japan PM Abe reacts to the ruling LDP Party’s by-election losses ahead of upper house elections
  • Japan Fin Min Aso is expected to discuss forex issues with US Treasury Sec Mnuchin this week, Aso is expected to travel to the US on April 25th (Thursday)
  • Bank of Japan (BOJ) is due to meet April 24-25th
  • Japan’s Golden Week holiday is approaching. Japan’s exchanges are due to be closed between April 27 (Saturday) to May 6th (Monday)
  • There is some press speculation that the US Treasury Department may release its semi-annual currency report in the near-term

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 closed for holiday
  • SYD.AU CEO Culbert: Decline in Q1 passengers (first decline in 5-yrs) may be due to changed travel plans because of longer gap between Easter and Lunar New Year – AFR
  • (AU) Hail storms in Sydney and flooding in Townsville cost Australia insurers A$2.4B – AFR

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.1%
  • (JP) Japan ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) lost the Lower House by-elections in Okinawa and Osaka – Japanese Press
  • (JP) Japan Finance Ministry (MOF) Currency Head Asakawa: Cannot relax during long holiday given FOMC, US jobs data and China PMI data

Korea

  • – Kospi opened +0.1%
  • 005930.KR Delaying Galaxy fold media event in China, reaffirms plans to launch foldable smartphone in the US on April 26th – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon may deliver a message from US President Trump to North Korea leader Kim if a new inter-Korean summit takes place – Yonhap
  • (KR South Korea Apr 1-20 Exports y/y: -8.7% v -4.9% prior; Imports y/y: -1.2% v -3.4% prior; Chip exports y/y: -24.7% v -25% prior; Exports to China y/y: -12.1% v -12.6% prior
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) sells KRW840B in 1-yr Monetary Stabilization Bonds (MSB) avg yield 1.80% v 1.82% prior
  • (KR) South Korea FTC plans to conduct extensive review of consumer regulations related to game companies – local press

China/Hong Kong

    • Hang Seng opened closed for holiday; Shanghai Composite opened +0.2%
    • (CN) China Politburo: Sees downward economic pressure as structural in nature, external economic environment is ‘tightening’; Will stick with principle of houses are for living and not for speculation (released on April 19th)
    • (CN) China is considering changes to its Drug Administration Law which may include tighter rules over the production and sale of drugs – Xinhua
    • (CN) China State Administration of Press and Publication (SAPP) plans to introduce new approval process for game publishers in April – Chinese press
    • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips v CNY20B injected in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net: CNY0B injection v CNY20B injection prior
    • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate: 6.7035 v 6.7043 prior
    • HUAWEI.CN Reports Q1 (CNY) Rev 179.7B, +39% y/y

Other Asia

  • (SL) Sri Lanka confirms series of explosions at a church and hotels killing 290, leaving 500 injured; 8 people arrested related to the blasts – press
  • North America
  • (US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 192K V 205KE (lowest since Dec 1969); CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.65M V 1.72ME (Friday)
  • BA Boeing workers raise concerns about shoddy manufacturing practices at 787 plant in South Carolina – NYT
  • (US) US expected to announce end of sanctions waivers for Iran oil imports, announcement may come on Monday – US press
  • TSLA Sent team to examine report that a parked car in Shanghai exploded – press
  • (US) US financial press: Fed officials start to talk about thresholds for rate cuts, cites recent interviews and public comments by Fed officials
  • Europe
  • (IR) Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has named Brigadier General Hossein Salami as the head of the country’s Revolutionary Guards (first change since late 2007) – financial press
  • (UR) Comedian Volodymyr Zelenskiy wins Ukraine presidential race with 73% of the vote, beating incumbent Petro Poroshenko (25% of vote) – press

Levels as of 01:20ET

  • Hang Seng closed; Shanghai Composite -1.3%; Kospi -0.2%; Nikkei225 +0.5%; ASX 200 closed
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.2%; Nasdaq100 -0.2%, Dax closed; FTSE100 closed
  • EUR 1.1236-1.1248; JPY 111.86-112.00; AUD 0.7135-0.7155; NZD 0.6673-0.6690
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.4% at $1,281/oz; Crude Oil +2.4% at $65.59/brl; Copper +0.1% at $2.91/lb
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