General Trend:
- China video surveillance firm Hikvision declines by daily limit on US blacklist speculation; Shares pare some of declines after response by company
- Later report says even more Chinese video surveillance firms could be blacklisted
- Chinese chipmakers extend gains on speculation they may benefit from US crackdown on Huawei
- Men’s retailer Mulsanne Group [1817.HK] says acceleration of US/China trade war weighed on the pricing of its IPO
- China Ambassador to the US says remains ready to hold trade talks with US (no timeframe given)
- PBOC continues to fix the yuan weaker in the face of the speculated US/China trade talk impasse
- PBoC said to plan to sell additional CNY denominated bills in HK amid recent currency weakness
- Japanese exports decline for 5th straight month in April, shipments to China weigh
- Japan 20-yr bond auction has record bid to cover
- Asian currencies trade generally weaker amid concerns related to factors including trade, geopolitics and slowing growth
- Thailand exports weighed down by US/China trade rift
- Post-election clashes have been reported in Jakarta (Indonesia)
- Japanese telecoms start to take actions regarding Huawei
- US Fed minutes due for release on Wed
Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened slightly lower
- (AU) China said to maintain Australia coal imports ‘slowdown’ after election – US financial press
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q1 CONSTRUCTION WORK DONE Q/Q: -1.9% V 0.0%E
- (AU) Victoria State government (Australia) said to tighten rules for online betting operators – US financial press
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q1 RETAIL SALES (EX INFLATION) Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.6%E; Y/Y: 3.3% V 3.5% PRIOR
- LYC.AU Clarifies mineral resource and ore reserve figures: Confirms there have been no material changes to the 2018 mineral resource and 2018 mineral reserve data released on Aug 6 2018
- (AU) Australia Apr Westpac Leading Index M/M: -0.1% v 0.3% prior
- (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Publishes review of loan to value ratio (LVRs) policy: LVRs should not be used as a monetary policy lever; Should keep ability to use macro prudential tools
- TBH.AU Unit entered into agreement with Betgenius, relates to the distribution of racing solution
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.5%
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Harada (dissenter): Sales tax hike may worsen economy and push down inflation
- (JP) Japan Trade Negotiator: Japan auto export restriction to US was not brought up during talks
- (JP) JAPAN MAR CORE MACHINE ORDERS M/M: 3.8% V 0%E; Y/Y: -0.7% V -3.4%E
- (JP) JAPAN APR TRADE BALANCE: ÂĄ60.4B V ÂĄ232.7BE; ADJ TRADE BALANCE: -ÂĄ110.9B V -ÂĄ37.5BE; Exports Y/Y: -2.4% v -1.6%e (5th consecutive decline); Exports to China -6.3% y/y; US +9.6% y/y
- (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ900B v ÂĄ900B indicated in 0.40% (prior 0.50%) 20-year bonds; avg yield 0.359% v 0.391% prior; bid to cover 5.47x v 4.84x prior
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.1%
- (KR) South Korea think tank KDI: South Korea needs ‘substantially’ accommodative monetary policy, notes slowing inflation; cuts 2019 GDP growth forecast to 2.4% v 2.6% prior
- (KR) OECD cuts South Korea 2019 GDP outlook to 2.4% (prior 2.6%) and 2020 GDP 2.5% (prior 2.6%) due to weaker domestic demand
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened +0.4%; Shanghai Composite opened flat
- (CN) China Ambassador to US Tiankai: China remains ready to hold trade talks with US; China is ready to address trade imbalance with US, buy more US products and services
- (CN) China reportedly has no information on Trump-Xi meeting at G20 in Japan despite Trump’s earlier announcement
- (CN) China President Xi: China needs to embark on a long new march and will start all over again, being interpreted by analysts that China is prepared for a long draw out trade war with the US – SCMP
- 700.HK Reportedly Tencent is warning about slower growth in FY19 China video ad sales – Nikkei
- (CN) PBoC said to consider sale of additional bills amid recent currency weakness – financial press
- 002415.CN US Trump administration said to be considering placing the company on blacklist, the final decision could be made in the coming weeks (largest provider of video surveillance equipment with internet enabled) – NYT
- 002415.CN Exec: Not been informed of possible blacklisting by US; have other sources if US decides to limit chip sales; See no impact form any move by the US – Chinese press
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY20B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY70B prior: Net: CNY20B v CNY80B prior
- (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate: 6.8992 v 6.8990 prior
- (CN) China PBOC details plans on how it will cut RRR for rural commercial banks announced May 6th: To take part in 3 stages (May 15th, June 17th and July 15th)
Other Asia
- (ID) Indonesia reporting that 6 have died and more than 200 injured in Jakarta as fighting breaks out over election results
- (TH) Thailand Apr Customs Trade Balance: -$1.5B v -$0.4Be; Commerce Ministry Official says exports were hurt by US/China trade war
North America
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +2.4M v +8.6M prior
- (US) SEMI: Apr North America Billings: $1.91B v $1.83B prior, m/m: +4.7% v -1.9% prior; y/y: -29.0% v -24.6% prior
- (US) Fed’s Bullard (Dove, voter): Rate cut may help maintain inflation goal credibility, 2019 CPI may fall short of target; baseline scenario is that trade agreements will be reached soon – speaks in Hong Kong on US Economic Outlook
- WYNN Confirms MGM will not continue talks on Boston Harbor casino, remain committed to opening the casino
- (US) US Business Lobby (AMCHAM CHINA): nearly half of member firms in China seeing non-tariff barrier retaliation in trade war – financial press
Europe
- (UK) UK PM May Spokesperson: Cabinet discussed new deal on Brexit to be presented in Parliament, no deal remains a plausible outcome and work is ongoing
- (UK) UK PM May Spokesman: Has not yet decided whether to whip 2nd referendum vote
- (UK) Ireland PM Varadkar: sounds like PM May’s withdrawal bill would be acceptable to Ireland
- (UK) PM May: Govt’s Customs Union plan is one possibility for Brexit
Levels as of 1:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, +0.1%, ASX 200 +0.1%, Hang Seng +0.2%; Shanghai Composite -0.2%; Kospi +0.3%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.1%; Nasdaq100 -0.2%, Dax -0.1%; FTSE100 +0.3%
- EUR 1.1170-1.1158; JPY 110.62-110.46 ; AUD 0.6887-0.6872 ;NZD 0.6511-0.6499
- Gold flat at $1,273/oz; Crude Oil -0.8% at $62.65/brl; Copper -0.1% at $2.712/lb