HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisAsian Indices Trade Generally Lower As Yuan Weakens

Asian Indices Trade Generally Lower As Yuan Weakens

General Trend:

  • Nikkei underperforms as yen strengthens, insurers and marine/transportation companies decline; Softbank Group to report earnings after Nikkei close
  • Chip-related firm SUMCO drops over 10% in Tokyo on guidance
  • Samsung Electronics denied it is aiming to replace all chip-related materials made by Japan
  • Japanese materials firms (Showa Denko, Mitsubishi Materials) to report earnings as investors try to assess impact of Japan’s export restrictions on South Korea
  • Japanese companies start to announce price increases ahead of expected Oct sales tax rise (Ajinomoto, Japan Tobacco)
  • Hong Kong companies note impact of protests in earnings reports
  • Australia ASX 200 rises after underperformance during prior session, REITs gain
  • Commonwealth Bank drops as earnings declined
  • RBNZ cuts rates by larger than expected 50bps, rate path suggests some probability of additional easing
  • Some analysts call for Nov rate cuts after RBNZ decision
  • Aussie tracks declines in Kiwi, some are now focusing on RBA policy after RBNZ move
  • Yuan declines after PBoC fix, currency continues to be fixed stronger than the key ‘7 level’
  • Australia July construction index hits lowest level since 2013, new orders and employment components decline
  • Gold Futures trade above $1,500/oz (highest since 2013) amid EUR gains and central bank easing
  • China July foreign exchange reserves expected to be released later today
  • China July trade balance may be released Aug 7-8th

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) CUTS OFFICIAL CASH RATE (OCR) BY 50BPS TO 1.0%; MORE THAN EXPECTED
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Gov Orr: Today’s decision to cut does not rule out any future action; Lowering the interest rate is completely sustainable at this point in time; 50bps cut was a strategic decision, may have to consider using negative rates – post rate decision press conference
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA JUNE HOME LOANS M/M: 0.4% V 0.5%E; Owner Occupied Loan Value m/m: +2.4% v -1.0%e
  • CBA.AU Reports FY19 (A$) Cash Net profit 8.49B v 8.92B y/y; Rev 23.19B v 23.56B y/y
  • OPT.AU Meets Primary Endpoint in Phase 2B Study of OPT-302 in Wet AMD [+131%]
  • SUN.AU Reports FY19 (A$) Cash earnings 1.12B v 1.09B y/y; announces A$506M shareholder distribution on sale of Aussie Life Insurance business, proposes share consolidation 1,000 to 971
  • GXY.AU Guides H1 to record $150-185M impairment related to Mt Cattlin
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA JULY AIG PERFORMANCE OF CONSTRUCTION INDEX: 39.1 V 43.0 PRIOR (11th consecutive month of contraction)
  • (NZ) Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Auction Dairy Trade price index: -2.6% v +2.7% prior

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.2%
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions from July 29-30 meeting: Need to persistently continue with easing, momentum for reaching 2% inflation maintained
  • 6753.JP CEO Tai Jeng-wu: Will pay performance based bonuses 3 times a year (prior 2) to help motivate staff – Nikkei

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.3%
  • (KR) South Korea Fin Min Hong: Will take all efforts to stabilize markets, will take preemptive measures in case of herd behavior; US not likely to name Korea a currency manipulator
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) Gov Lee: Will make efforts to stabilize markets with Govt, will focus on stabilizing financial and FX markets; may consider responding to changes with monetary policy

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened flat; Shanghai Composite opened +0.4%
  • (CN) CHINA PBOC SETS YUAN REFERENCE RATE: 6.9996 V 6.9683 PRIOR
  • (CN) China to revise the quota rules for farm product import tariffs, to remove soybean, rapeseed and palm oil import tariff quota management quotas – US Financial Press
  • (CN) China State Banks said to be buying up USD through swaps in yuan onshore forwards – financial press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips for 12th consecutive session; Net CNY0B drained v CNY0B drained prior
  • (HK) Hong Kong Monetary Authority refutes speculation it lends $400B in foreign currency reserve to mainland China
  • (CN) JPMorgan: USD/CNY may trade at 7.35 by end of 2019; notes higher probability that US could raise tariff level on China to 25% – US financial press
  • 293.HK Reports H1 (HK$) Net 1.35B v -263M y/y, Rev 53.6B v 53.1B y/y
  • (CN) China PBoC: China does not manipulate its currency; Reiterates stance to keep CNY rate basically stable at reasonable and balanced level (overnight)
  • (CN) China PBoC said to have told foreign companies that CNY currency (Yuan) will not keep falling – financial press (overnight)

North America

  • PDCE Said to be in talks to merge with SRC Energy – financial press
  • DIS Reports Q3 $1.35 v $1.76e, Rev $20.3B v $21.7Be; Exec: Fox acquisition diluted EPS by $0.60/shr; streaming bundle to launch Nov 12th – earnings call
  • (US) Fed’s Bullard (dove, voter): further rate action may be desirable but economy is still adjusting to Fed’s shift as of early this year from raising rates to lowering them
  • WYNN Reports Q2 $1.44 v $1.42e, Rev $1.66B v $1.59Be

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, -0.5%, ASX 200 0.6%, Hang Seng -0.6%; Shanghai Composite -0.1%; Kospi -0.5%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.6%; Nasdaq100 -0.7%, Dax -0.4%; FTSE100 -0.2%
  • EUR1.1220-1.1198 ; JPY 106.47-105.93 ; AUD 0.6783-0.6676 ;NZD 0.6558-0.6377
  • Gold +0.9% at $1,496/oz; Crude Oil -0.7% at $53.60/brl; Copper -0.4% at $2.554/lb
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