HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisChina's Aug Inflation Data Reveals Further Pork Price Surge

China’s Aug Inflation Data Reveals Further Pork Price Surge

General Trend:

  • Equity markets opened generally higher in Asia, but trading later turned mixed
  • Shanghai Composite erased the opening gains amid inflation data release; Declining sectors include Property, Telecom Services and IT
  • Shares of China Telecom and China Unicom each rise over 3% in HK, the companies confirmed the 5G cooperation agreement
  • Nissan rises over 3% in Japan on CEO change; Japanese banks supported by rise in US Treasury yields
  • Australian equities lag on declines in Telecom and Consumer companies; Higher bond yields and News Corp ex-dividend weigh on Telecom sector
  • Australian graphite producer Syrah Resources declines over 30%, cut production guidance on lower prices in China
  • There is speculation that Trump/Xi could meet in Nov, Trump confirmed trade talks with China to occur next week
  • AUD/JPY pared gain on weaker NAB business confidence data; NAB to review its outlook for RBA policy amid business confidence figures
  • Government bond yields generally rise in Asia, track move higher in US Treasury yields; ECB decision due on Thursday (Sept 12th)
  • Gold Futures trade below $1,500 in the face of higher bond yields

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • SYR.AU Cuts to China electric vehicle subsidies impacting operations and prices: to significantly reduce graphite production to 5.0Kt/month
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA AUG NAB BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 1 V 4 PRIOR; BUSINESS CONDITIONS: 1 V 3 PRIOR
  • (AU) Australia sells A$150M v A$150M indicated in 1.25% indexed Feb 2022 bonds, avg yield -0.325%, bid to cover 9.47x v 4.93x prior

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.2%
  • 7201.JP CEO Saikawa resigns, effective Sept 16th; COO Yamauchi to be acting CEO – financial press
  • (JP) Japan Econ Min Motegi: Revised GDP data showed private consumption and CAPEX positively contributed to domestic demand
  • (JP) Sec of State Pompeo: looking forward to completing US-Japan trade deal at UNGA (UN General Assembly) in NY
  • (JP) Japan Business Federation (Keidanren) Chairman Nakanishi: grim outlook for the global economy is weighing on demand and discouraging Japanese companies from investing; Conditions abroad “will be tough going into next year” amid the intensifying US China trade war
  • RNO.FR Renault and Nissan said to both be unhappy with existing alliance agreement and are planning to completely revises it – French press
  • (JP) Japan Defense Min: North Korea projectile has no impact on national security
  • (JP) South Korea reviewing Japan’s status as a trusted trading partner, which may be revoked next week – Korean press
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Capex showing some weakness lately but remains in an upward trend; need to watch for overseas risks

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.3%
  • (KR) North Korea fired 2 unidentified projectiles towards East Sea – Yonhap
  • (KR) North Korea said it is willing to resume talks with the US in Sept, however talks could end unless the US takes a fresh approach – press
  • (KR) Moody’s: Negative rating actions for South Korea corporates are likely to exceed positive actions over the next 12 months
  • 003490.KR Delta increases stake in parent firm, Hanjin KAL, to 9.21% (prior 5.13%)

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.6%; Shanghai Composite opened +0.1%
  • (CN) CHINA AUG CPI M/M: 0.7% V 0.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 2.8% V 2.7%E; Pork prices y/y: +46.7% v 27% prior; Food CPI: +10% y/y; Non-food: +1.1% y/y; PPI Y/Y: -0.8% v -0.9%e (largest decline since Aug 2016)
  • (CN) Fitch: Cuts 2019 GDP outlook to 6.1% (prior 6.2%); Cuts 2020 GDP outlook to 5.7% (prior 6.0%) – Protectionism Choking Global Growth Prospects
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 7.0846 v 7.0851 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY80B in 7-day reverse repos v injects CNY120B prior; Net CNY80B injects v injects CNY0B prior
  • 728.HK Confirms to enter into 5G co-operation agreement with China Unicom to build 5G base stations in 15 cities – US financial press
  • 2333.HK Reports Aug vehicle sales 70.2K units v 64.1K units y/y

North America

  • F Moody’s cuts Ford’s unsecured rating one notch to junk status; cuts to Ba1 from Baa3; outlook Stable
  • (MX) Mexico Finance Min confirms plans to create ‘countercyclical’ or rainy day fund – FT
  • (US) Fitch trims US GDP growth forecasts for 2019 and 2020: Trims 2019 GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 2.3%; Trims 2020 GDP growth forecast from 1.8% to 1.7%
  • (US) President Trump confirms talks with China next week – rally

Europe

  • (UK) PM Johnson: Will not ask for another Brexit delay; By Corbyn’s own logic he should back an election – speaking in parliament
  • (UK) Opposition Labour Party Leader Corbyn: PM Johnson has confirmed he will not follow Brexit delay law; House has expressed its will, no deal Brexit is off the table – speaking to parliament
  • (IE) Ireland Aug Consumer Confidence Index: 77.2 v 85.5 prior (lowest since Nov 2013)
  • (UK) Parliament votes on early general elections: 293 in favor (needed 434 to move forward) v 46 against (Johnson’s 6th loss in 6 days)

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, +0.3%, ASX 200 -0.7%, Hang Seng +0.1%; Shanghai Composite -0.3%; Kospi +0.6%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.1%; Nasdaq100 -0.2%, Dax -0.1%; FTSE100 -0.1%
  • EUR 1.1052-1.1040 ; JPY 107.50-107.18 ; AUD 0.6870-0.6849 ;NZD 0.6443-0.6423
  • Gold -0.8% at $1,498/oz; Crude Oil +0.5% at $58.12/brl; Copper +0.4% at $2.638/lb
Trade The News
Trade The Newshttp://www.tradethenews.com/
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading