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Asian Indices Rise After US Gains, China And US Confirmed Trade-Related Phone Call

General Trend:

  • Early gainers in Shanghai include Telecom Services and Consumer Discretionary companies
  • Sectors moving higher in Japan include Iron/Steel, Marine Transportation and Real Estate
  • Japan brokerage earnings in focus (Nomura and Daiwa)
  • Singapore Airlines expects losses related to fuel hedges
  • Gainers in Australia include Consumer Discretionary, Resources and Energy companies
  • Australia PM Morrison: Agrees to 3 step reopening plan by July
  • RBA Quarterly Statement in line with May cash rate decision

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.3%
  • (AU) Australia PM Morrison: Today we will move ahead with reopening the economy; Agrees to 3 step reopening plan by July; Treasury estimates 850K jobs restored under plan; Can’t see international travel restarting soon.
  • (AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) STATEMENT ON MONETARY POLICY (SOMP): NEAR-TERM GROWTH FORECAST TO REFLECT DROUGHT, BUSHFIRES, AND CORONAVIRUS
  • (AU) Australia to sell A$2.0B in government bonds in one tender next week; to issue new Dec 21 2030 bond through syndication next week (starting on May 11th)
  • (AU) Australia sells A$1.5B v A$1.5B indicated in 5.50% April 2023 bonds, avg yield 0.2348% v 0.2603% prior, bid to cover 6.8x v 7.3x prior
  • (AU) Australia Mar Port Hedland Iron Ore Exports: 45.3Mt v 46.7Mt prior; iron ore shipments to China: 38.7Mt v 40.4Mt prior
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) buys NZ$450M v NZ$450M prior in government bonds as part of QE
  • (NZ) New Zealand Fin Min Robertson: Does not see need for RBNZ to directly buy Govt bonds

China/Hong Kong

  • Shanghai Composite opened +0.5%, Hang Seng +0.9%
  • (CN) China and US trade ambassadors have spoken over the phone; Agree to keep communications, strengthen economic cooperation – Xinhua
  • (US) US Treasury confirms conference call between Ambassador Lighthizer, Treasury Sec Mnuchin, and China Vice Premier Liu He
  • (CN) China Vice Commerce Min Wang: Sales of durable consumer goods such as autos and home appliances rebounded significantly during May day holiday
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 7.0788 v 7.0931 prior
  • (CN) China PBOC to sell total of CNY30B in 3-month and 1-year bills in Hong Kong on May 14th
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips Reserve Repo Operations for the 24th consecutive session; Net CNY0B v CNY0B prior
  • (CN) China PBOC may conduct targeted RRR cut and lower the MLF rates or reverse repo rates by as early as May – China Securities Journal commentary
  • (CN) China National Health Commission Coronavirus Update for May 7th: 1 additional case v 2 prior; Additional deaths: 0 v 0 prior
  • (CN) Shanghai and Guangdong (China) reported to lower health response to 3rd highest level – Press

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +1.5%
  • (JP) Japan Apr Final PMI Services: 21.5 v 22.8 prelim (confirms 3rd month of contraction and record low)
  • (JP) Japan Mar Household Spending Y/Y: -6.0% v -6.5%e (5th largest since comparable data available in 2001, 6th straight decline)
  • (JP) Japan Mar Labor Cash Earnings y/y: +0.1% v 0.1%e; Real Cash Earnings y/y: -0.3% v 0.0%e
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe to speak with US President Trump May 8th in the morning
  • (JP) Japan ruling LDP party may discuss a second extra budget to deal with coronavirus next week, the second extra budget might be focused on small and medium-sized companies – Japan press
  • (JP) Japan Ruling Party reported to introduce Small Business Rent Subsidy with ÂĄ500K cap for small-mid size companies, ÂĄ250K for mom and pop companies – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ200B v ÂĄ200B indicated in 10-yr 0.1% inflation-indexed bonds; highest yield 0.117%; bid to cover 3.8x

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.8%
  • (KR) US said to have asked South Korea to pay $1.3B in shared defense costs – South Korean press [vs $1.1-1.2B previously speculated]
  • (KR) South Korea confirms high chance of additional virus cases due to club exposure

Other Asia

  • (ID) Indonesia Considers full reopening of economy in 5 phases; To ease lockdown in early June, targets full reopening end of July
  • (ID) Indonesia Apr Foreign Reserves: $127.9B v $120.9B prior

North America

  • (US) Fed Total Balance Sheet Size as of May 7th: $6.77T (record) v $6.70T w/w
  • (US) US Dept of Justice began probe into meat industry prior to coronavirus pandemic
  • (US) US Attorney General Barr reported to seek Obamacare repeal in October – CBS
  • (US) White House is considering measures it could take to stimulate the economy without the need for legislation in Congress – NBC

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, +2.3%, ASX 200 +0.7%, Hang Seng +1%; Shanghai Composite +1%; Kospi +1.2%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +1.2%; Nasdaq100 +1.1%, Dax +1.2%; FTSE100 closed
  • EUR 1.0854-1.0823 ; JPY 106.45-106.22 ; AUD 0.6549-0.6491 ;NZD 0.6134-0.6084
  • Gold +0.1% at $1,726/oz; Crude Oil +1.4% at $23.88/brl; Copper +1.2% at $2.408/lb
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