HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisChina FX Regulator Expressed NO Concern With CNY, Confirmed QDII Speculation

China FX Regulator Expressed NO Concern With CNY, Confirmed QDII Speculation

General Trend

  • HK-listed Energy firms rise after figures from CNOOC, Financials also rise
  • Shanghai Composite traded flat during the morning session; Financials rose, while IT shares declined
  • Topix Air Transportation and Securities indices are among the gainers; Retail index declines; Nexon rises on Nikkei index inclusion
  • Energy and Financial firms rise in Australia, decliners include Resource and Consumer firms
  • Companies expected to report earnings during the NY morning include Autoliv, American Express, Cleveland Cliffs, Carter’s
  • China’s plenary session is expected to start on Monday (Oct 26th). China’s 5-year plan (for 2021-2025) is expected to be discussed at the session.

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT PRELIMINARY PMI MANUFACTURING: 54.2 V 55.4 PRIOR (5TH MONTH OF EXPANSION); PMI Services: 53.8 v 50.8 prior
  • (AU) Australia sells A$1.5B v A$1.5B indicated in 0.50% Sept 2026 bonds, avg yield 0.3937%, bid to cover 4.5x
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q3 CPI Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.9%E; Y/Y: 1.4% V 1.7%E (lowest annual reading since 2018); Domestic or non-tradable inflation increased 2.6 percent in the year to September 2020 [This is the first time it has fallen below 3 percent annually since June 2019 quarter]
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) buys NZ$220M v NZ$330M prior in government bonds as part of QE v NZ$220M sought
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Will seek to purchase NZ$880M v NZ$880M prior in government bonds next week

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%
  • (CN) China SAFE (FX regulator): To grant more QDII in phases; Recent CNY rise is supported by fundamentals, FX Market supply and demand;
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.6703 v 6.6556 prior (First weaker CNY fix in 7 trading sessions)
  • (CN) SAFE (fx regulator): China Commercial banks bought CNY26.9B in FX in Sept ($4.0B); Sold $3.8B in Aug; CNY FX rate stability better than expected since Coronavirus
  • (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): To impose temporary anti-dumping duties on some rubber imports from the US, South Korea and EU; effective from Oct 28th
  • (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM) spokesperson Gao Feng: To improve the export control list and release it in due course (from Oct 22nd)
  • (CN) China reassures US firms on trade deal – Global Times (from Oct 22nd)
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY70B in 7-day reverse repos v Injects CNY50B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net inject CNY20B v Net inject CNY0B prior
  • (CN) China Ministry of Finance (MOF) Sells 3-month, 6-month bills and 30-year bonds; Sells 30-year bonds: Avg yield 3.8815% v 3.7735% prior
  • Huawei: Reports 9M (CNY) Rev 671.3B (~$100.4B) v 610B y/y [+10% y/y]
  • (CN) China President Xi: Chinese people cannot be messed with; Calls for faster moves in modernizing national defense and armed forces – Korean War Anniversary Event

Japan

  • Nikkei225 opened +0.4%
  • Hitachi Construction [6305.JP]: Hitachi To sell shares in Hitachi construction – Japanese press
  • Hitachi [6501.JP]: Considering various options on improving corporate value; Nothing has been decided at current time
  • (JP) JAPAN SEPT NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 0.0% V 0.0%E; CPI EX-FRESH FOOD (CORE) Y/Y: -0.3% V -0.4%E
  • (JP) JAPAN OCT PRELIMINARY PMI MANUFACTURING: 48.0 V 47.7 PRIOR (18TH STRAIGHT CONTRACTION BUT HIGHEST READING SINCE FEB); PMI Services: 46.6 v 46.9 prior (9th straight contraction)
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Kato: We are not at the stage to give timing for the Fukushima water decision; Will closely monitor price trends (Comments after CPI release)
  • (JP) Japan Govt Coronavirus Panel said to be recommending extending Japan year-end and New Year Holidays through Jan 11th

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.4%

Other Asia

  • (SG) Singapore Sept CPI M/M: 0.3% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 0.0% v -0.3%e; CPI Core Y/Y: -0.1% v -0.3%e

North America

  • (US) House Speaker Pelosi: We’re just about there but have not completely signed off on agreement; It’s urgent we come to an agreement on coronavirus relief – press conf comments
  • (US) White House Chief of Staff Meadows: Hopes Speaker Pelosi is ready to do a stimulus deal – Fox Business interview
  • (US) President Trump: Johnson and Johnson and Moderna doing well on coronavirus vaccines – Presidential Debate
  • (US) Presidential Candidate Biden: Would make China ‘play by the rules’ – Presidential Debate
  • (US) SEMI Sept North America-based Manufacturers of Semi Equipment Billings: $2.75B, +3.6% m/m and +40.3% y/y
  • Blood plasma said to not benefit coronavirus patients – Stat
  • Uber [UBER] and Lyft [LYFT]: Loses lawsuit, Appeals Court unanimously rules that Uber must abide by California labor law and treat drivers as employees; Lyft also required to abide by law
  • Wells Fargo [WFC]: Said to be seeking sale of asset management unit – Press

Europe

  • (UK) Oct Preliminary GfK Consumer Confidence: -31 v -25 prior
  • (IE) Ireland Oct Consumer Confidence: 52.6 v 60.7 prior

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, +0.3%, ASX 200 -0.1% , Hang Seng +0.3%; Shanghai Composite -0.1% ; Kospi +0.3%
  • Equity S&P500 Futures: +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax flat; FTSE100 +0.2%
  • EUR 1.1824-1.1786 ; JPY 104.93-104.66 ; AUD 0.7139-0.7107 ;NZD 0.6680-0.6649
  • Gold +0.2% at $1.906/oz; Crude Oil -0.2% at $40.56/brl; Copper -0.4% at $3.1513/lb

 

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