Thu, Feb 02, 2023 @ 17:13 GMT
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Trade Idea: Gold Breakdown

The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken. The formation of a wedge pattern right on top of the demand zone also serves as an additional reason to hold on to my bullish bias in the meantime.

Daily Timeframe

On the Daily timeframe, Gold seems to be driving hard within the wedge as it retests the supply zone from the previous break of structure. At the moment, my overall bias is still bearish based on the DXY correlation. Let’s see the lower timeframe though.

4-Hour Timeframe

This chart gives us a clearer view of what we saw earlier on the Daily timeframe. Here however there is an interesting scenario of an induced ‘false breakout’. The bias remains bearish, however, a break and retest of the wedge pattern would be a safer entry. Can the H1 timeframe possibly provide more insight? Let’s see.

1-Hour Timeframe

Here on the 1-hour timeframe we see a classic AMD schematic (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution – AMD), where the highlighted area serves as the supply zone, I would personally be watching out for. This would be my initial entry pending the break of the wedge pattern on the H4.


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