HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisUK 100 Index Experiences Pre-election Decline

UK 100 Index Experiences Pre-election Decline

  • UK 100 index erases June’s recovery attempt as the UK election looms
  • A break below 8,055 could worsen short-term outlook

The UK 100 stock index (cash) continues to suffer for the sixth consecutive trading day, extending its downleg aggressively to the critical support zone of 8,110 on Tuesday ahead of the election day on July 4.

The index could not mark a new higher high above the key resistance area of 8,300 and the important resistance line from February 2022, increasing fears that the negative reversal from the 8,476 record high could gain more legs.

Discouragingly, the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) have already posted a bearish cross, promoting the case of a bearish continuation. In addition to this, the RSI is currently losing ground below its 50 neutral mark and the MACD is diminishing below its zero and signal lines, both reflecting a clear bearish bias.

A step below the base of 8,110 could dampen market sentiment, but traders may not rush to sell the index until the price drops decisively below the ascending trendline at 8,055. Note that the stochastic oscillator is already within the oversold region, while the price itself is hovering near the lower Bollinger band. Hence, a pause in the ongoing bearish phase is likely. Yet, if the bears claim the 8,055 area, the next stop could be around April’s constraining region of 7,987, a break of which could cause a sharper downfall towards the 7,870 zone.

On the upside, the bulls must exit the triangle and knock down the wall at 8,300 in order to boost buying appetite towards the 8,360-8,400 barrier, but before that, they should first claim the  20- and 50-day SMAs at 8,212 and 8,245 respectively. Long-term traders might wait for a bullish trend extension above the crucial resistance line at 8,522 before driving towards the 8,600 psychological mark.

In summary, the UK 100 stock index is holding a bearish bias in the short-term picture, but selling interest could stay balanced until the price slides below 8,055.

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