HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisGold Slips Lower — Downside Risk Builds Below Key Support

Gold Slips Lower — Downside Risk Builds Below Key Support

Key Highlights

  • Gold started a fresh decline from the $3,450 resistance.
  • A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $3,360 on the 4-hour chart.
  • WTI Crude Oil prices dipped sharply below the $68.00 support.
  • The US GDP could contract by 0.2% in Q1 2025.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold prices failed to extend gains above $3,450 and reacted to the downside. There was a steady decline below the $3,400 and $3,380 support levels.

The 4-hour chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price settled below the $3,350 level and the 100 Simple Moving Average (red, 4 hours). The decline was such that the price spiked below the $3,300 level and the 200 Simple Moving Average (green, 4 hours).

On the downside, initial support is near the $3,295 level. The first key support is $3,275. The next major support is near the $3,450 level. The main support is now $3,230. A downside break below the $3,230 support might call for more downsides. The next major support is near the $3,200 level.

On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $3,335 level. The next major resistance sits near the $3,350 level. The main barrier could be $3,360.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,360 on the same chart. A clear move above the $3,360 resistance could open the doors for more upsides. The next major resistance could be $3,400, above which the price could rally toward the milestone level of $3,450.

Looking at WTI Crude Oil, the bears took control and were able to push the price below the $68.00 support zone.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • US Initial Jobless Claims – Forecast 245K, versus 245K previous.
  • US Gross Domestic Product for Q1 2025 – Forecast -0.2% versus previous -0.2%.
  • US Durable Goods Orders for May 2025 – Forecast +8.5% versus -6.3% previous.
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