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Germany PMI hit 6-month high, potential for renewed upward pressure on headline inflation

Germany PMI manufacturing dropped to 56.1 in August, down from 56.9 and missed expectation of 56.6. PMI services rose to 55.2, up from 54.1 and beat expectation of 54.4. PMI composite rose to 55.7, up from 55.0, hit a 6-month high.

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Phil Smith, Principal Economist at IHS Markit said:

“German business continued to display remarkable resilience during August, with the latest PMI data going some way to dispel any fears about a global trade slowdown and its impact on the health of the economy.

“Buoyed by strong fundamentals in the domestic market, including rising employment and wages, the service sector enjoyed an upturn in growth in August and drove the steepest rise in private sector business activity for six months.

“While the manufacturing PMI retreated slightly, it remained well inside growth territory at the midpoint in the third quarter. The top-line number is perhaps flattered by the output component, with trends in new orders and exports – the latter the weakest in over two years – pointing to a softer pace of growth.

“Elsewhere, the survey’s measure of prices charged for goods and services edged closer to January’s survey-record peak, to suggest the potential for some renewed upward pressure on the headline inflation rate in coming months.”

Full release here.

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