HomeLive CommentsUK Q3 GDP growth fastest since 2016, but September weakness clouds

UK Q3 GDP growth fastest since 2016, but September weakness clouds

UK Q3 GDP growth accelerated to 0.6% qoq, matched market expectations. That’s also the fastest rate since Q4 2016.

Head of National Accounts Rob Kent-Smith noted that “The economy saw a strong summer, although longer-term economic growth remained subdued. There are some signs of weakness in September with slowing retail sales and a fall-back in domestic car purchases. However, car manufacture for export grew across the quarter, boosting factory output. Meanwhile, imports of cars dropped substantially helping to improve Britain’s trade balance.”

However, it should be noted that the rolling three month growth rate slowed from 0.7% in both May-Jul and Jun-Aug periods. This is in line with the above comment that there were some weakness in September. Indeed, monthly GDP growth in September was at 0.0% mom, missed expectation of 0.1% mom.

Full GDP release here.

Also released from UK

  • Trade deficit narrowed to GBP -9.7B in September versus expectation of GBP -11.4B.
  • Industrial production rose 0.0% mom, 0.0% yoy in September versus expectation of 0.1% mom, 0.5% yoy.
  • Manufacturing production rose 0.2% mom, 0.5% yoy versus expectation of 0.1% mom 0.4% yoy.
  • Construction output rose 1.7% mom in September versus expectation of 0.2% mom.

Overall, Sterling turns a bit weaker after the batch of data release.

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