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ECB to turn cautious but no change in forward guidance yet

ECB rate decision and press conference is a main focus for today. No change is expected in monetary policy. And the main refinancing rate will be held at 0.00%.

As recent economic data pointed to further weakness in the Eurozone economy, ECB president Mario Draghi might turn a bit more cautious or even dovish in the press conference.

Market has already pushed back their expectations on the first rate hike to mid-2020. But, ECB is still unlikely to make any change to the forward guidance. That is, ECB will reiterate that interest rates will stay at present level at least through summer of 2019. ECB probably would wait for more incoming data before making such a change.

Here are some suggested previews on ECB:

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