Gold drew support from rising channel line and recovered after hitting 1280.85. So far, it’s held above 1276.76 cluster support (38.1% retracement of 1160.17 to 1346.17 at 1275.45). Thus, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1160.17 could extend further. Break of 1346.71 will target key fibonacci level of 38.2% retracement of 192.070 to 1046.37 at 1380.36. For now, we don’t see enough momentum to break through this 1380.36 key fibonacci level yet.

On the downside, decisive break of 1275.45/1276.76 should confirm completion of whole rise from 1160.17. In that case, gold should have started another falling leg inside the long term range pattern. Deeper fall should then be seen back towards 1160.17 support.

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