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ISM manufacturing dropped to 52.8; New orders, prices, employment declined

Dollar is suffering more selling pressure after weaker than expected April ISM manufacturing report. The headline index dropped to 52.8, down from 55.3 and missed expectation of 55.0. Price paid index dropped sharply to 50.0, down from 54.3 and missed expectation of 55.7. Employment index dropped to 52.4, down from 57.5. New orders tumbled to 51.7, down from 57.4.

ISM noted that:

  • Comments from the panel reflect continued expanding business strength, but at the softest levels since the fourth quarter of 2016.
  • Demand expansion continued, with the New Orders Index softening to the low 50s, the Customers’ Inventories Index remaining at a ‘too low’ status, and the Backlog of Orders Index improving its prior month performance.
  • Consumption (production and employment) continued to expand, but at lower levels, resulting in a combined decrease of 8.6 points.
  • Inputs — expressed as supplier deliveries, inventories and imports — were higher this month, primarily due to inventory growth exceeding consumption, resulting in a combined 1.5-percentage point improvement in the Supplier Deliveries and Inventories Indexes.
  • Imports contracted during the period.
  • Overall, inputs reflect a more stable business environment, confirmed by the Prices Index at zero price growth, or unchanged.
  • Exports orders contracted for the first time since February 2016. The PMI® trade elements are in contraction territory. The PMI® has been inching down since November 2018. The manufacturing sector is expanding, but at recent historic lows.

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