Eurozone Sentix Economic Index dropped to -5.8 in June, down from -3.3 and missed expectation of 0.2. It’s also the lowest level since November 2014. Current Situation Index dropped from 6.0 to 1.8, lowest since February 2015. Expectations Index also dropped from -12.3 to -13.0, lowest since February 2019.
Sentix noted that after the supposed de-escalation signals in US-China trade war at G20, there was “great hope that the downward trend in the economy could be stopped”. But, investors are “not blinded by the rising share prices” as expectations show no upward reaction to the news. It warned, “without resilient negotiation results, it will be difficult for investors worldwide to develop a different perspective.”
For Germany, Overall Economic Index dropped from -0.7 to -4.8, lowest since November 2009. Current Situation Index dropped from 13.5 to 7.0, lowest since April 2010. Expectations Index dropped from -14.0 to -16.0, lowest since February 2019.
Sentix said “things are even worse for the German economy”. “The high dependence on exports and the Chinese sales market is increasingly becoming a burden and the customs dispute hovers like a sword of Damocles over the former model boy of the Euro region.” Also, the automotive industry is “simply not emerging from the crisis”.
