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WTI oil gaps down, targeting 50.64 key support

WTI crude oil gaps down as the week starts and hits as low as 52.10 so far. Further fall is expected as long as 55.89 resistance holds. However, overall outlook is unchanged. Current decline from 65.38 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 66.49. We’d expect strong support from 50.64, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 42.05 to 66.49 at 51.38, to bring rebound. Break of 55.89 will indicate short term bottoming. However, sustained break of 50.64 will invalidate our view and open up the case for a test on 42.05 low.

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