RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway said today that 50bps rate hikes are the way forward, and he’s confident of soft landing as the labor market is strong.
“75 wasn’t seriously on the table because we are pretty convinced that we can get to where we need to get with 50-point increments,” he said. Also, the central bank was “signaling there’s probably some more 50 points coming over the next little while.”
On the economy, Conway said “it’s difficult to engineer a soft landing — typically a significant reduction in inflation is accompanied by negative economic growth — but there’s reasons to believe New Zealand is well placed to pull it off this time around.”
“The labor market is strong and that’s the underlying reason why the New Zealand economy is well placed to weather the storm,” he added.