BoJ’s Summary of Opinions from its April 30–May 1 meeting revealed a generally cautious view on the impact of US tariffs, with board members acknowledging the potential economic damage but not seeing it as enough to derail the pursuit of the 2% inflation target.
One member noted that BoJ may enter a “temporary pause” in rate hikes due to weaker US growth. But it’s emphasized that “it shouldn’t be too pessimistic”.
The member emphasized that rate hikes could resume if conditions improve or US policy shifts.
Other opinions highlighted the high level of uncertainty facing Japan’s economic and price outlook, driven largely by global trade tensions. One board member noted the policy path “may change at any time.”
Another reaffirmed that there has been “no change to the BoJ’s rate-hike stance”, as projections continue to show inflation reaching the 2% target and real interest rates remain deeply negative.