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New Zealand BNZ PMI Manufacturing Slows to 53.1, but New Orders Tell a More Resilient Story

New Zealand’s PMI Manufacturing eased from 54.3 to 53.1 in August, remaining in expansion territory and still above the survey’s long-run average of 52.5. The slowdown was broad across several sub-indices, with production falling from 57.1 to 54.2, deliveries from 55.5 to 52.6, and employment from 52.2 to 50.0. BusinessNZ said manufacturing continued to expand, though at a slower pace.

The internal picture was more constructive than the headline decline suggested. New Orders rose from 53.6 to 54.9, while Finished Stocks increased from 53.4 to 56.4, the strongest sub-index in August. BusinessNZ Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said the sector was “not quite roaring,” but highlighted ongoing expansion in production and demand. Sentiment remained cautious, with 55.7% of respondent comments negative, though some firms reported steadier or improving order books.

BNZ’s assessment was also relatively positive, describing the lower headline reading as consistent with a broadening expansion and noting that the August PMI provided a supportive signal for Q3 manufacturing output. The main weakness was employment, which slipped to the 50.0 breakeven level, while stronger new orders suggest demand conditions remain supportive enough to sustain production despite the softer headline.

Data Summary

Indicator Previous month Current month Trend
PMI Manufacturing 54.3 53.1 Expansion slowed

The August reading remained above the survey’s long-run average of 52.5 despite easing from July.

Components

Component Previous month Current month Trend
Production 57.1 54.2 Slower expansion
Employment 52.2 50.0 Fell to breakeven
New Orders 53.6 54.9 Faster expansion
Finished Stocks 53.4 56.4 Faster expansion
Deliveries 55.5 52.6 Slower expansion

Key Takeaways

  • New Zealand PMI Manufacturing eased from 54.3 to 53.1, but remained comfortably above the 50.0 expansion threshold and above its long-run average of 52.5.
  • The headline slowdown was not uniform. New Orders strengthened from 53.6 to 54.9, while Finished Stocks rose from 53.4 to 56.4.
  • Employment was the weakest component, falling from 52.2 to exactly 50.0, indicating no expansion in manufacturing employment during August.
  • Production remained solidly expansionary despite slowing from 57.1 to 54.2, while Deliveries eased from 55.5 to 52.6.
  • BusinessNZ described manufacturing as continuing to expand at a slower rate, while BNZ characterized the result as a softer headline alongside a broadening expansion and a positive signal for Q3 manufacturing output.
  • Overall, the report points to slower but still constructive manufacturing growth, with improving orders offset by softer production and employment.

Full NZ BNZ PMI release here.

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