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United States

Market Overview

NFP Blows Past Forecasts—So Why Is Dollar Rebound Still Restrained?

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US NFP Smashes Forecasts With 162k Growth, July Revisions Turn Positive

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Fundamental Analysis

The Dollar Has Staked Its Fate on the NFP

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US Jobs Report Takes Focus After Strong Services Data

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Research US – Defying Growing Headwinds

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Market Overview

Dollar Squeezed on Two Fronts, Gold Rebounds Sharply From Critical Support Ahead of NFP Cue

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Cliff Notes: Balancing Risks to Growth and Inflation, a Worthwhile Pursuit

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U.S. Inflation – A Tale of Crosscurrents

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US ISM Services Beats Forecasts as Demand Surges but Hiring Stays Weak

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Sunset Market Commetnary

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Fed’s Waller Leans Toward September Hold—But Hot Inflation Could Flip Him

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USD/JPY Slides Toward 155 as GPIF Speculation Fuels Yen Rally

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US Initial Jobless Claims Rise from 204K to 206K

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The Yen Is Advancing on Three Fronts

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Growth, Inflation and Unemployment Expected to Converge Around Structural Levels

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USD/JPY Tumbles Under the Shadow of Intervention, Faces Asymmetric NFP Test

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Sunset Market Commentary

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US ADP Employment Growth Slows to 38K as Hiring Becomes Increasingly Narrow

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Brent Is Heading Towards $100 a Barrel

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Sunrise Market Commentary

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Inflation Data Strengthens Case for September ECB Hike

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Market Overview

Iran Escalation Pushes Brent Toward $102 as Gold Cracks $4,300

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US: ISM Manufacturing Expansion Holds up in August Despite Supply Chain Challenges 

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Sunset Market Commentary

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US ISM Manufacturing Slows to 54.6 as Orders and Hiring Lose Momentum

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Fed’s Barr Says Rates Should Rise if Inflation Fails to Moderate

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One Story, Four Markets: Oil, Global Yields, Tech and the Carry Unwind

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Sunrise Market Commentary

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The Futility of Bessent’s Long-Term Treasury Buybacks

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Euro Area Inflation in Focus as National Data Reveals Muted Core Momentum

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