Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7038; (P) 0.7058; (R1) 0.7089; More…
AUD/USD is staying in consolidation from 0.7003 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.7121 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7003 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.6722 to 0.7295 at 0.6941 and below.
In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, we’d treat fall from 0.8135 as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.
