AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6768; (P) 0.6784; (R1) 0.6814; More…

AUD/USD rebounds further today and is pressing 0.6822 resistance. Break will resume rebound from 0.6677. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.6910 support turned resistance. Though, rejection by 0.6822 resistance will maintain near term bearishness. Break of 0.6677 will extend larger down trend to 100% projections of 0.7295 to 0.6831 from 0.7082 at 0.6618.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Firm break of 0.6826 (2016 low) should confirm this bearish view. Further fall should be seen to 0.6008 (2008 low) next. On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

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