Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6746; (P) 0.6778; (R1) 0.6795; More…

AUD/USD recovers mildly today but with 0.6808 minor resistance intact, intraday bias remains on the downside. Corrective rise from 0.6677 should have completed with three waves up to 0.6894. Further decline should be seen to retest 0.6677 first. Break will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.6808 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.6894 resistance holds.

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In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Next target is 0.6008 (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.


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