Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6539; (P) 0.6559; (R1) 0.6574; More...
AUD/USD is holding well above 0.6372 support despite today’s retreat. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment, and further rally is expected. On the upside, firm break of 0.6589 will resume the rise from 0.5913 and target 0.6713 fibonacci level.
In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. Rebound from 0.5913 is seen as a corrective move. While stronger rally cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713 holds. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, even in case of another fall through 0.5913, downside should be contained above 0.5506 (2020 low).
