AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7741; (P) 0.7780; (R1) 0.7799; More…

AUD/USD’s strong break of 0.7758 confirm resumption of fall from 0.8135. Intraday bias back on the downside. Current fall should target 100% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7758 from 0.7988 at 0.7611. On the upside, break of 0.7988 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, near term outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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