Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7775; (P) 0.7808; (R1) 0.7861; More…

At this point, AUD/USD is staying in range above 0.7712 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook will remains mildly bearish as long as 0.7892 minor resistance holds. But still it’s limited below 0.7892 resistance. Such rebound could still be a corrective move only. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.7712 will extend the fall from 0.8135 towards 0.7500 key support level. However, break of 0.7892 will suggest that the pull back from 0.8135 is already completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7988 and then 0.8135 again.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

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