Tue, Mar 21, 2023 @ 00:26 GMT

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4456; (P) 1.4492; (R1) 1.4540; More

EUR/AUD recovers ahead of 4 hour 55 EMA but it’s still staying in range below 1.4649 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Also, we’re holding on to the view of trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Hence, in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 1.4334 resistance turned support and rise resumption. Above 1.4649 will target 1.4721 key resistance. Decisive break of 1.4721 will confirm our bullish view. However, break of 1.4334 will suggest rejection from 1.4721 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3980 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

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