Mon, Jun 05, 2023 @ 06:15 GMT

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6156; (P) 1.6235; (R1) 1.6327; More

Immediate focus is now on 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 . Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 1.4281 to 1.6389 fibonacci level and then 1.6434 resistance. However, firm break of 1.6053 support will indicate rejection by 1.6302 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5848 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5404) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. Focus is now on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

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