EUR/CHF rebounded stronger after dipping to 1.1260 last week. But upside was limited by 1.1356 resistance to close lower. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. As long as 1.1356 holds, near term outlook stays cautiously bearish and fall from 1.1501 is in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 1.1260 will target 1.1173 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.1356 resistance will argue that the pull back from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1260. In that case, further rise would be seen back to retest 1.1501.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

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