Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8955; (P) 0.8972; (R1) 0.8987; More…
EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.8992 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged and further rise is expected as long as 0.8872 resistance holds. But considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’d look for topping signal as it approaches 0.9101 key resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8872 will indicate short term topping. Deeper pull back could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8830) first.
In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.
