EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8465; (P) 0.8482; (R1) 0.8512; More…

EUR/GBP retreats sharply after hitting 0.8551 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, further rise is still in favor as long as 0.8294 support holds. 0.8201 is seen as a medium term bottom. Above 0.8511 will target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. However, break of 0.8294 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

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