EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation above 0.8660 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8758 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8660 will resume recent decline from 0.8977 to 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. Nevertheless, break of 0.8758 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8874 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

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