EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP recovered after edging lower to 0.8548 last week, but upside is capped below 0.8648 support turned resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Some more consolidations could be seen but downside breakout is expected. Break of 0.8548 will resume the decline from 0.8764 to retest 0.8419 low next. However, sustained break of 0.8648 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high) is extending, and is set to continue until further development.

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