Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.57; (P) 130.54; (R1) 131.05; More….
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 137.49 is in progress. As noted before, a medium term top is likely in place at 137.49 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper decline should be seen to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 132.17 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.
