EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.98; (P) 130.00; (R1) 130.50; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 128.94 so far. Break of 129.34 indicates resumption of whole decline from 137.49. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 129.34 from 132.40 at 127.36 next. On the upside, break of 131.05 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. Sustained break there would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 119.90. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

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