EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1280; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1452; More…..

Despite breaking 1.1342 minor support, EUR/USD recovered ahead of 1.1270 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1270 revive the bearish case that down trend from 1.2555 is still in progress. EUR/USD should then target 1.1186 key fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, sustained break of 1.1496 will revive the case of near term reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 1.1814 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

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