Sun, Aug 01, 2021 @ 11:58 GMT

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1222; (P) 1.1249; (R1) 1.1287; More…..

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1183 extends today. Break of 1.1273 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.1183, just ahead of 1.1176 low. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1311) first. Break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

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