Mon, Sep 20, 2021 @ 13:48 GMT

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1788; (P) 1.1820; (R1) 1.1843; More

EUR/USD is staying in tight range below falling 4 hour 55 EMA and outlook is unchanged. With 1.1880 resistance intact, further fall is expected. Current decline from 1.2265, as the third leg of correction from 1.2348, could target 1.1703 support. On the upside, though, break of 1.1880 resistance should indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 1.1974 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair. However sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that the rise from 1.0635 is over, and turn medium term outlook bearish again.

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