Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1742; (P) 1.1773 (R1) 1.1818; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is neutral for the moment. Above 1.1818 will turn bias to the upside for 1.1879. Break there will revive the case that pull back from 1.2091 has completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. In that case, rebound from 1.1669 should resume for retesting 1.2091 high. On the downside, below 1.1729 will bring retest of 1.1669. Break there will resume whole corrective fall from 1.2091. In that case, EUR/USD will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. Strong support is expected there to complete the correction.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

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EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart


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