EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0820; (P) 1.0846; (R1) 1.0888; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again as it recovered quickly after dipping to 1.0801. Further fall is expected as long as 1.0929 resistance holds. Below 1.0801 will resume the decline from 1.1274 to 1.0609/34 cluster support next. Nevertheless, break of 1.0929 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 1.1274, after failing to break through 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 decisively, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from there is seen as a correction to the uptrend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 1.0634 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0609). Strong support could be seen there, at least on first attempt, to set the range for consolidation. Yet, medium term outlook will be neutral for now, as long as 1.1274 resistance holds.

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