Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.63; (P) 127.07; (R1) 127.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with the strong recovery in early US session. For now, as long as 130.06 minor resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 126.54 will extend larger down trend to 122.36 low. However, break of 130.06 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 134.55).

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In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).


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