GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2953; (P) 1.3019; (R1) 1.3079; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside with 1.3082 minor resistance intact. Current fall should target 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.3203 from 1.3362 at 1.2637 next. On the upside, above 1.3082 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But recovery should be limited well below 1.3362 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4179). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3471 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

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